The Financial Ad Trader
The Financial Ad Trader

Here is an example of the reports provided by Stock Barometer in their Free Weekly Newsletter.

Hello,

Welcome to the Weekly Stock Barometer Newsletter. This one, similar to the one I issued in October with a Buy Signal, is one you’re going to want to pay attention to. Here’s the message I gave to my readers just a few days ago:

We have a Sell Signal, placing us in Sell Mode. I don't expect this to be a major move lower - but I do expect the markets not to work materially higher over the next 2 weeks.

It's been 28 days since our last signal, so I do expect the market to oscillate here. Meaning the next trade may not be very profitable. So why take the trade? Because no one knows for sure what the market is going to do. We position for each and every change in direction as if it's going to be a large move. When it's not, we may sustain a loss or a small gain. And these conditions can exist for a month or two before the market sets up properly giving us the next profitable trade. We can't hit a homerun on every trade like this last one, but you can sure bet I'll be swinging at the next pitch.

In fact, I liken my system to Babe Ruth. As you know, Babe Ruth was a great homerun hitter, but he was also the strike-out king. So I don't mind having a less than 50% success rate as long as I put up good returns by hitting a homerun periodically. To me, a homerun is a gain of over 7% on a trade. If you consider that we're now making roughly 20-30 trades a year, a 50% success rate can deliver roughly 70% as the rest of the trades roughly balance out each other.

Also note that the number of trades is down from 40+ when I first designed this system some time ago. The first system was quicker to respond, but it was also more likely to break these last larger moves into 3 trades, frequently going short and long again as the market continued higher. I think the revision to the system to remain in these longer-term moves has allowed for these larger returns that we're seeing of late.

Also note that the internals of the market are not breaking down a lot here, so I do expect a little move higher before the market continues lower.

Regards,

Jay DeVincentis
www.StockBarometer.com


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